Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.354935 0.462270 0.579178 0.714167 0.864111 1.024141 1.206504
2025-09-07 0.202426 0.340830 0.509278 0.720265 0.969992 1.250097 1.582578
2025-09-14 0.123419 0.266538 0.458368 0.713615 1.028755 1.393139 1.835883
2025-09-21 0.067817 0.203469 0.407005 0.694851 1.064330 1.502932 2.046267
2025-09-28 0.046044 0.183005 0.406719 0.736065 1.168995 1.690875 2.344487
2025-10-05 0.032552 0.171309 0.415705 0.787256 1.284587 1.890935 2.656364
2025-10-12 0.020842 0.156694 0.416914 0.825552 1.382152 2.068023 2.940187
2025-10-19 0.015229 0.153669 0.435340 0.887218 1.509575 2.281575 3.267677
2025-10-26 0.009489 0.145477 0.443352 0.932909 1.615407 2.468079 3.562458
2025-11-02 0.003339 0.125706 0.427894 0.942323 1.671805 2.592155 3.781082
2025-11-09 NaN 0.089847 0.375210 0.891492 1.644134 2.608476 3.866790
2025-11-16 NaN 0.058945 0.322164 0.834197 1.603577 2.605494 3.926371
2025-11-23 NaN 0.041209 0.292684 0.813738 1.615860 2.673563 4.078868
2025-11-30 NaN 0.031917 0.281064 0.822037 1.668936 2.795153 4.299243
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021840 0.261619 0.814429 1.697523 2.883565 4.477061
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012532 0.236814 0.794433 1.706409 2.945042 4.620324
2025-12-21 NaN 0.011910 0.246756 0.838581 1.810383 3.132745 4.923248
2025-12-28 NaN 0.012442 0.262256 0.893361 1.930415 3.342045 5.253800
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011547 0.270463 0.934260 2.029714 3.523807 5.549607
2026-01-11 NaN 0.013161 0.291604 1.000005 2.166471 3.755776 5.909365
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013036 0.303774 1.048632 2.277610 3.953659 6.226044
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009447 0.296024 1.058642 2.330503 4.073630 6.443799
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002871 0.256922 1.004557 2.284789 4.060337 6.491203